The air-launched missiles would give the Ukrainian air force a capability only a handful of other nations have. | U.S. Air Force Photo by Airman 1st Class Aaron Hill
By Smartencyclopedia SNBNewsdesk with Agencies
Washington, D.C. (Nov. 16, 2024)
A Game-Changing Decision
In a landmark policy shift, President Joe Biden has authorized Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied long-range ATACMS missiles to strike targets inside Russia. This marks a significant escalation in the Ukraine war and comes just weeks before Donald Trump’s return to the White House, raising questions about the future of U.S. support for Kyiv.
For over a year, Ukraine has employed ATACMS missiles against Russian targets within occupied Ukrainian territory. However, Washington had previously refrained from allowing strikes deep inside Russia, citing concerns about escalating the conflict. Now, with new developments on the battlefield and Trump’s imminent presidency, Biden’s administration has opted for a bold course of action.
Why the Policy Reversal?
The decision is reportedly influenced by Russia’s recent deployment of North Korean troops to bolster its defenses in the Kursk region. This area, partially controlled by Ukrainian forces, is seen as a critical flashpoint. Allowing Kyiv to launch long-range strikes is intended to strengthen Ukraine’s position as it faces potential counter-offensives from Russian and North Korean forces.
Another key factor is Biden’s limited time in office. Strengthening Ukraine militarily could provide it with leverage in future peace negotiations, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s foreign policy stance.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has not officially confirmed the new authorization but hinted at forthcoming actions, saying, “The missiles will speak for themselves.”
What Are ATACMS Missiles?
The Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) is a surface-to-surface ballistic missile with a range of up to 300 kilometers (190 miles). Manufactured by Lockheed Martin, these missiles can be fired from systems like the M270 MLRS and M142 HIMARS.
ATACMS are versatile, capable of carrying cluster warheads to target troops and equipment or a high-explosive warhead designed for hardened structures. While highly effective, cluster warheads pose risks of unexploded ordnance, potentially endangering civilians long after the conflict.
These missiles have been a staple of U.S. military operations since the Gulf War and are now set to play a critical role in Ukraine’s strategy.
Impact on the Battlefield
Allowing strikes within Russia gives Ukraine new tactical options. Initial targets are expected to include military infrastructure in the Kursk region, such as airfields, ammunition depots, and command centers.
While the supply of ATACMS is unlikely to singlehandedly change the war’s trajectory, they can stretch Russian logistics, disrupt operations, and boost Ukrainian morale. Russian forces have already begun relocating equipment further from the front lines, complicating their supply chains and reducing their responsiveness.
Evelyn Farkas, a former U.S. defense official, noted the symbolic importance of the decision, adding, “It demonstrates unwavering support for Ukraine and raises the cost of war for Russia.”
Risks of Escalation
Russian President Vladimir Putin has long warned that Western weapons used against Russia would be seen as NATO’s direct involvement in the war, potentially broadening the conflict.
While previous “red lines,” such as supplying modern tanks and fighter jets, have been crossed without triggering direct NATO-Russia clashes, this decision raises the stakes. Kurt Volker, former U.S. ambassador to NATO, defended the move, stating, “Restricting Ukraine’s use of weapons arbitrarily was a mistake. This decision levels the playing field.”
Trump’s Looming Return
Donald Trump’s election victory has created uncertainty about the future of U.S. military aid to Ukraine. Trump has promised to end the war quickly, but his methods remain unclear. His allies have criticized Biden’s decision, with figures like Donald Trump Jr. accusing the administration of escalating toward “World War Three.”
However, opinions within Trump’s camp vary. National Security Adviser Michael Waltz has suggested that accelerating arms deliveries could force Russia to negotiate. Whether Trump will maintain or reverse Biden’s policy remains to be seen, leaving Ukraine in a precarious position.
What’s Next?
As Ukraine prepares to utilize its expanded arsenal, the geopolitical landscape grows increasingly tense. Striking targets within Russia could reshape the war but also risks provoking a dangerous response from Moscow.
With Biden’s time in office ticking down and Trump’s policies unclear, Ukraine must act swiftly to capitalize on its new capabilities while navigating the uncertainties of a shifting U.S. foreign policy.